Harvard Study Predicts 32 Percent Of US New Car Sales In US In 2030 Will Be EVs
cleantechnica.com Sep 25, 2026

Harvard Study Predicts 32 Percent Of US New Car Sales In US In 2030 Will Be EVs

AI-summarised brief · reviewed before publication

A Harvard study forecasts that electric vehicle (EV) sales in the United States will rise from 8 % today to 32 % by 2030, despite federal policy setbacks. The report, titled “Simulating Impacts of Proposed Trump Policy Changes on Electric Vehicle Adoption,” attributes the projected drop from a potential 48 % to 32 % mainly to the removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit. Researchers also highlight battery technology improvements, expanded fast‑charging networks, and consumer confidence in charging infrastructure as key drivers of future EV uptake.

💡 Why It Matters

  • · The study quantifies how policy shifts can dampen, but not halt, the momentum toward electric mobility, underscoring the critical role of incentives and infrastructure in accelerating the transition.