New Novaspace forecast: 6,500+ EO satellites to launch by 2035

spacenews.com Aug 21, 2026

New Novaspace forecast: 6,500+ EO satellites to launch by 2035

Curated by Shubham · TechCapsules · Aug 21, 2026

AI-summarised brief · reviewed before publication

Novaspace’s latest Earth Observation Satellite Systems report projects that more than 6,500 EO satellites will be launched worldwide by 2035, creating an estimated $155.9 billion in manufacturing revenue. The forecast reflects a surge in sovereign ISR programs as governments seek independent access to space‑based intelligence, while commercial operators become key partners in delivering those capabilities. Defense customers are shifting focus from pure image resolution to higher revisit rates, persistent coverage, and wide‑area monitoring, prompting the development of larger, multi‑sensor constellations that blend synthetic‑aperture radar, optical and RF payloads. The “Skyscraper Model” of standardized bus platforms with advanced, layered payloads is gaining traction, driving demand for interoperability, fleet management and tighter commercial‑defense market convergence.

💡 Why It Matters

· Sovereign ISR capability is becoming a strategic priority, forcing a redesign of satellite architectures and creating a massive new revenue stream for the space manufacturing sector.

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Zelensky reveals Ukraine developing Starlink alternative with Europe as Russia teams up…

Ukraine and Russia are each building indigenous satellite‑communication networks to replace reliance on Elon Musk’s Starlink, which currently underpins frontline data links. President Volodymyr Zelensky told reporters that Kyiv is partnering with a European consortium to fast‑track a Starlink‑like system, while Moscow has joined forces with China to launch its own constellation, targeting operational capability by December 2026. Kyiv is also seeking permission to route Starlink traffic over Russian airspace, a request Musk has warned could heighten escalation. Zelensky highlighted the need for a secure communications layer to support Ukraine’s growing use of U.S.‑made Patriot air‑defence missiles against Russian ballistic threats. Both projects reflect a strategic push to secure sovereign control over battlefield connectivity.

💡 Control over satellite communications removes a critical dependency on a single private provider, reshaping how each side conducts modern warfare.

freemalaysiatoday.com · Aug 23

Ukraine and Russia seeking Starlink alternatives, says Zelensky

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that both Ukraine and Russia are developing independent alternatives to Starlink, the satellite communication system controlled by Elon Musk. Zelensky stated that Russia is collaborating with China to build a Starlink equivalent, with completion expected by December 2026. In response, Ukraine is implementing a similar project with a European partner and has begun testing it. This development follows Musk’s restriction of Russian access to Starlink, which experts say disrupted Russian tactical command. Ukraine is also seeking authorization from Musk and the US administration to use Starlink satellites for operations within Russian territory. Zelensky argued that expanding coverage could help shorten the conflict by targeting Russian ballistic launchers. He noted a decrease in Patriot missile supplies, citing 675 received in 2023, 364 in 2025, and 264 in 2026. Consequently, Kyiv is focusing on hunting nearby launch locations to counter Moscow’s increased use of ballistic missiles, aiming to reduce Russia’s capacity to prolong the war through sustained missile strikes.

💡 The race for sovereign satellite infrastructure exposes the strategic vulnerability of relying on private tech giants for critical wartime communications. As Moscow accelerates its China-backed alternative, Kyiv’s push for European partnership underscores a broader geopolitical shift toward independent military technology ecosystems.

telesurenglish.net · Aug 23

U.S. Recruits Palantir, Anduril for Free-Speech Program

The U.S. State Department has selected Palantir Technologies and Anduril Industries as private-sector partners for the Technology Excellence for Freedom Program. This initiative aims to promote freedom of expression and digital rights globally. Employees from both firms will undertake temporary assignments at the State Department. Their responsibilities include addressing cybersecurity, emerging technologies, data privacy, online child protection, artificial intelligence, and technology policy governance. The selection has sparked debate among experts. Critics question the suitability of companies known for mass-surveillance and military technologies in a program dedicated to online freedoms. Former officials like Chris Painter and Steve Feldstein have expressed skepticism regarding the partners’ expertise in free speech. Palantir and Anduril face ongoing scrutiny over their surveillance practices and alleged human rights violations, particularly concerning military applications and involvement in conflict zones.

💡 Entrusting surveillance giants with defining digital rights creates a fundamental contradiction in U.S. foreign policy. It suggests that national security interests may now outweigh democratic principles in shaping global internet governance.

taipeitimes.com · Aug 23

As Europe rearms, Italy’s space sector faces a scale test

Italy’s fragmented space industry faces mounting pressure to consolidate as defense and government clients increasingly prefer larger suppliers capable of managing complex programs. This shift aligns with Europe’s broader push for strategic autonomy in defense and critical technologies, driven by geopolitical tensions and uncertainty regarding US security commitments. While Italy’s sector is renowned for niche engineering expertise, it remains dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises struggling with limited capital access. Industry leaders, including executives from Officina Stellare and Qascom, argue that remaining small is no longer viable for competing for large contracts. Major players like Leonardo emphasize the need for integrated capabilities and operational resilience. The trend toward aggregation is further accelerated by the success of vertically integrated competitors like SpaceX. Although consolidation offers scale, it risks sacrificing the deep technological specialization that defines many Italian firms. To address funding gaps, Intesa Sanpaolo, the European Investment Bank, and the European Space Agency recently launched a program offering up to 300 million euros to support industry growth and structural changes.

💡 The sector’s forced evolution challenges the traditional "small is beautiful" philosophy, proving that niche expertise alone cannot secure defense contracts in an era of strategic autonomy. This structural shift determines whether European space firms can achieve the industrial resilience necessary to compete globally against vertically integrated giants.

psuconnect.in · Aug 22

Secretary (Defence Production) Launches GRSE’s 4th Wave of Indigenous Defence Innovation “GAINS…

Garden Reach Shipbuilders and Engineers (GRSE) Ltd., a Navratna Defence Public Sector Undertaking under the Ministry of Defence, launched the fourth edition of its flagship innovation initiative, GRSE Accelerated Innovation Nurturing Scheme (GAINS) 2026, on August 22. The event was officiated by Shri Sanjeev Kumar, IAS, Secretary of the Department of Defence Production, who served as the Chief Guest. GAINS aims to encourage start-ups, MSMEs, academia, and innovators to develop technology-driven solutions for the shipbuilding sector. First launched in 2023, the national open innovation challenge has evolved into a sustained collaboration platform. Participation grew from 66 proposals in 2024 to over 100 in 2025, reflecting increased engagement from India’s innovation ecosystem. The initiative seeks to leverage emerging technology capabilities to address present and future challenges in ship design and construction. Senior GRSE officers and numerous startups participated in the launch, which was conducted in a hybrid mode. This fourth wave continues GRSE’s efforts to advance technology-driven processes within the indigenous defence manufacturing landscape.

💡 The surge in proposals from over 100 innovators validates the viability of integrating private sector agility with state-owned defence manufacturing. This model accelerates the adoption of cutting-edge technologies in shipbuilding, directly strengthening India’s indigenous defence supply chain resilience.

dharmakshethra.com · Aug 22

Tonbo Imaging — Building India’s Miniature Electro-Optical and Infrared Eyes for the…

Bengaluru-based Tonbo Imaging is developing miniature electro-optical and infrared (EO/IR) systems for India’s defense sector, addressing the critical need for advanced sensing capabilities in modern warfare. The company designs thermal-imaging cores, weapon sights, surveillance equipment, and missile seekers for land, naval, airborne, and missile platforms. By integrating optics, infrared sensing, and computing, Tonbo enables detection in complete darkness and enhances target recognition. A key focus is miniaturization, optimizing Size, Weight, and Power (SWaP) to fit compact packages like drone payloads and rifle sights without sacrificing range or durability. This approach supports the "Make in India" initiative by domesticating complex battlefield sensor architectures. Tonbo’s technology allows soldiers and vehicles to operate effectively at night and in obscured conditions, providing a strategic advantage through lightweight, robust, and intelligent imaging solutions that withstand harsh battlefield environments while consuming minimal power.

💡 Tonbo’s focus on shrinking complex sensor architectures directly addresses the SWaP constraints that limit drone endurance and soldier mobility. By mastering miniaturization, the company enables next-generation platforms to carry sophisticated targeting capabilities previously restricted to larger, heavier systems.